Earlier, I was writing about dollars return local main flow problem, I think the return of funds option three main aspects: 1, securities market and commodity market 2, national debt market 3, the real estate market. Because the us stock market at present have been high regional operation, investment value is abate, and prudent investors and moderate avoid commodity market risk, so I judge return the United States capital will transfer to the real estate market.
The fed the latest quarterly bank loans officials survey report shows that: in the past three months, 57% of housing mortgage bank report rising demand, and quarter the figure is 38%. And as the U.S. real estate market stabilises, mortgage interest rates fall to low, this explains the purchase loans turning up demand. The United States real estate warmer on the U.S. economy is practical results, will further repair American consumer relations, the credit relationship and make the credit relationship in a certain period within the good direction, capital flow speed can be accelerated, the third and the fourth quarter economic data is going well is a support.
Late last year, the dollar began to return home, first support the stock and commodity markets, and Wall Street use the debt problem crack down on the euro, make a part of the capital inflows to the us debt market, the two reservoir contain a lot of money, and protect the capital return, the American market can still keep inflation low level, but these funds flow all belong to the category of financial markets, the real economy to help relatively limited, the entity economy KongXinHua problems difficult to solve, when the above two reservoirs can't accommodate more return money, obviously the real estate is the best choice. Beauty the bursting of the housing bubble, make America's real estate prices have a reasonable return process, relatively speaking, investment and speculative value began to appear, so capital flow to the real estate industry is also an inevitable trend, the trend for the United States to repair the real economy have certain help, will drive the downstream related industry warmed, and promoting consumption further picks up, the American economy is good, and the virtual economy and real economy will be more conducive to the double robust American economic recovery.
The fed data shows that: in until July 25 week, consumer and corporate loan balance to $7.1 trillion, the distance from October 2008 peak only almost 2.9%. Credit agency Equifax Inc data show: this year the first 4 months new car loans rose to $134.3 billion, a 56% increase over the same period of 2009. Over the same period, America's employment data also began to gradually pick up, these data not only the United States entity economy picking up trend begins to pick up, from another aspect also auxiliary card the American real estate industry milder possibility is very high.
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